in Norway as a deterrent: It is simply providing a capability for rapid expansion, should it be necessary,” Giles said. In the event of a war with Russia, pre-positioned stockpiles would supply a force of 15,000 for 30 days of fighting and would likely provide the footprint for a larger force of Marines, said Keir Giles, a Russia expert with the Chatham House policy institute in London. The Norwegian government has approved six-month rotations of roughly 300 Marines in Norway through 2018. The Russian military says major war games, the Zapad (West) 2017 maneuvers, set for next month will not threaten anyone. 12, 2017, in Alabino, outside Moscow, Russia.
“In short, it could make the Black Sea into a Russian lake - safeguarding that maritime flank,” he said.Ī man watches Russian military jets performing on Aug. The port of Sevastopol, Crimea, gives Russia a staging area for “anti-access” weapons in the Black Sea, Holmes said. Russian submarines would slow down seaborne reinforcements to the Baltics, Holmes said. Navy bogged down away from Western Europe. Naval War College.Ĭhina and Iran’s navies could keep major parts of the U.S. “We can hardly pull the entire Navy out of the Pacific to do battle in Europe, lest we sacrifice our Asian alliances along with stakes of immense value,” said James Holmes, a professor at the U.S. While Atlantic-based Navy assets would be ready to engage, naval experts say Russian maritime maneuvering, along with their allies, will be able to delay and tie up the Navy elsewhere. “What cannot get there in time are the kinds of armored forces required to engage their Russian counterparts on equal terms, delay their advance, expose them to more frequent and more effective attacks from air and land-based fires, and subject them to spoiling counterattacks,” according to the RAND study. land forces, accustomed to air and sea dominance, would face Russian interference with their support and could be on their own for hours, days, and even weeks at a time. NATO infantry was unable to retreat and was destroyed in place. Richard Nash, a former commander in Bosnia.ĭuring recent war games, NATO tried to use indigenous forces to assist - “the outcome was, bluntly, a disaster for NATO,” according the RAND study. “I think it’s very easy to consider a scenario where small units of NATO forces, to include American forces, could in fact be overwhelmed in the event of an attack,” said retired Army Maj. That formation will be gone in 10 minutes against the Russians.”Ī Russian strike through Belarus into the Baltics would be so “quick and overwhelming” that, “like with Crimea,” NATO would have to accept that those states are now in the Russian orbit, said retired Army Maj. “That would be fine on the Mexican border. Doug Macgregor, referring to the new Strykers that are outfitted with a 30mm cannon. “A good example is the upgunned Stryker,” said retired Army Col.
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